Update times: ca. 7:50pm, 10:50pm, 1:50am, 4:50am, 7:50am, 10:50am, 1:50pm and 4:50pm
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Station
°C
Reported at 12:00 Uhr
Trajectory forecast
Rapid Update ID2 (ICON-D2) (2 days)
This product displays output from the ICON-D2 model which replaced the former COSMO-D2 model. This model is updated every 3 hours and, in addition to its high resolution output, also has a suite of ensemble members to add additional confidence to the forecast. Ensemble members are created by running the same model with slightly different initial conditions. This allows for a more complete picture of all the possible outcomes. The ICON-D2 ensemble suite has 20 members in addition to the operational model. If each of the 20 members is in good agreement about the forecast, you can have high confidence in its output while if the members are in disagreement, there is more uncertainty. The ICON-D2 model and its ensembles are available out to 48 hours.
