Storm Tracks (Ensemble) Moving directions of hurricanes, typhoons and cyclones
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
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Cyclone-Tracks (ECMWF EPS)
This map displays the forecast tracks of tropical cyclones according to the ECMWF’s EPS (ensemble prediction system). The color of each dot corresponds to the forecast intensity of a given tropical system at a given time by a given ensemble member. Use this map to get a sense of forecast uncertainty. If all the track lines are clustered closely together, you can have a high degree of confidence in the track forecast. If all the colors are the same, you can have a high degree of confidence in the intensity forecast. Do note however that the ensembles can underestimate the intensity of a very strong storm, especially in the near term.